Georgia Tech Football: Advanced Stats - 2021 Predictions

Georgia Tech Athletics This week, we’ve walked through how to evaluate teams and coaches, and so now, it’s time to further explore something we touched on while discussing team evaluation: projecting team performance. How do we take some of our ideas on evaluation and maximize their predictiveness as a holistic composite of team strength?

I find it most useful to double back to the idea of the “Five Factors of football”, pioneered by friend-of-the-program Bill Connelly, who lays them out as so:

1. Efficiency: ...examine(s) your efficiency and consistency in staying on schedule and putting yourself in position to move the chains. In terms of projection, it is by far the most important of the…