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Advanced Stats Review: GT vs. UCF

Final Score: UCF 49-21

Projected EPA Margin of Victory: UCF by 31.69

GT Win Probability by Success Rate and Yards Per Play: 31%

Heading into this game, we asked whether the 2019 GT stats or the week 1 stats against FSU gave us a better indicator of how this game against UCF would go. As we guessed, the answer was somewhere in between. GT nearly matched UCF in efficiency, putting up numbers pretty close to last week against FSU. But, big plays and turnovers completely tilted the final outcome and showed how far GT has to go.