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Advanced Stats Preview: GT vs. Pittsburgh

In a matchup that most GT fans peg as a win entering the season, Pitt has won four of the last five after GT won the first two games upon the Panthers’ entry to the ACC Coastal. Before the season, GT had about a 42% win probability in this game; as of this writing, SP+ gives GT a 38% chance, while the Vegas consensus spread has Pitt as a 6.5 point favorite with a 65% chance of winning. Let’s look at the stats matchup and relative advantages each team should expect to have:

GT Pitt Advanced Stats Preview

Offensive EPA/Play -0.