North Texas Two Step – Wins are the only currency now

Since we last spoke, North Texas SC pulled off a comfortable win in southern AZ, 2-0 over FC Tucson, and then came home and fumbled away a lead to fellow playoff bubble squad Richmond, losing 1-2. I say “fumbled” – this was a game that NTSC was comfortably in control of for 80+ minutes until a Kicker hit a 1/500 shot and Nkosi Tafari got beat on a set-piece, neither of which you’d expect to go against you ex ante. It’s a really bad time in the season for “soccer is a high variance sport and inherently random” to become a headline.

Last time, I estimated that the playoff line would be at 37-38 points. Intervening results have pushed that number closer to 39, and NTSC is on 33. With an away…