Yes, it's early. Sure, some rosters are not yet set in stone due to the delayed NBA Draft — i.e., underclassmen now have until Aug. 3 to withdraw their names — in addition to possible late commitments from reclass candidates in the 2021 class. Plus, many Duke basketball faithful and others still refuse to get their hopes up about indoor college sports happening at all.
Even if there are games, they could all take place on neutral courts somewhere and/or without a full flock of fans in the stands, which could have all sorts of impacts, including some unpredictable ones.