Tiger Tales · Mar 24, 2019
How Many Runs Will The Tigers Score In 2019?
The health of first baseman Miguel Cabrera will be a big determinant in how many runs the Tigers score in 2019 (Photo source: Crain's Detroit Business).
It is time for my annual runs scored prediction for the Tigers. Table 1 below shows that I had been pretty good (lucky?) at projecting the Tigers team run totals for a few years, but not so good last year.
Table 1: Tigers Projected and Actual Runs Scored, 2013-2018
In 2013, I projected that they would score 800 runs and they actually scored 796, so I was off by just four runs. Moreover, I missed by just three and five runs respectively in 2014 and 2016. Thus, my forecasts came within 1% of the actual runs scored those three years.