’ playoff chances currently reside between 15 and 20 percent by most probability models. FiveThirtyEight has them at 17 percent. The New York Times has them at 19 percent. Football Outsiders is far less optimistic, posting their odds at 13 percent.
But let’s do a little deeper of analysis. As we’ve broken down earlier, to make the playoffs the Lions first need the Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)
to tie or lose to the Los Angeles Rams (+6.5). Then they need to beat the Green Bay Packers (-4.