The Houston Texans have the best chance to land the top pick in the 2023 NFL draft, according to the updated projections from the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). The 1-12-1 Texans have an 87.4% chance to get the top selection after losing their ninth straight game. They're followed in our draft order projections by the 3-11 Chicago Bears, who have a 10.4% chance to land the No. 1 overall pick.
There have already been six trades involving first-round picks for April's draft, with the Texans, Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles in line to have two selections in Round 1.