It's a subject that's been brought up before, and it will certainly be brought up again, but Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton is not likely to win the NFL's Coach of the Year award.
And it has nothing to do with his credentials at this point.
No, the reason why Payton won't win the NFL Coach of the Year award in 2025 is simple: He's not a first-year coach with a new team. Just like the NFL MVP award is typically given to a quarterback, the Coach of the Year award is almost exclusively given to the coach whose team either overachieves the most, or the coach at the helm of a team that went from worst to first.