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A recent history of high profile veteran QB off-season moves

The Denver Broncos were 7-10 in 2021. Can recent history give us an idea of how many additional wins the presence of Russell Wilson at QB could mean for the 2022 Broncos?

Over the last ten NFL seasons I count 14 instances when a “top-tier” veteran QB moved to a new team in the off-season (using salary as a measure of top-tier). So this is a fairly rare occurrence. Let’s look at each situation and see what effect the move had on the team record year over year. Of course, the QB is not the only factor that contributes to W/L record, but it is arguably the biggest factor.