A 60-game season will improve the likeliness of the Rockies making the postseason, according to FanGraphs. Such an improvement roughly doubles their chances when compared to a 162-game schedule.
FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborski wrote back in March on how “the shorter the season is, the more margin there is for worse teams.” A 10.9 percent postseason chance for the Rockies is admittedly small, but it is far more than the 5.8 percent mark projected for a full 162.
Tony Wolfe of FanGraphs writes this June follow-up. He addresses how both heavily favored and heavily unfavored teams have seen playoff odds “pulled into the middle” in reference to how a smaller sample size of games can result in a harder-to-distinguish ‘top’ and ‘bottom’ of the league.