Using the season-to-date playoff predictions on FanGraphs - which relies on recent performance and poses a more neutral prediction system instead of weighting ballpark and opponent factors - the Rockies entered the 2022 season with a predicted record of 76-86 and odds to make the playoffs at 26.7%. Entering Saturday, that outlook has improved to a 79-83 record and 32.3% odds. The FanGraphs prediction model - which relies on a blend of Steamer and ZiPS - has been, and remains, very skeptical, but that’s not surprising for anyone who knows the name Dan Szymborski.
All of this is to say the Rockies 5-2 start has been better than expected, even for the projection systems.