Denver Post · Jul 8, 2019
MLB home run projections are bonkers
Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado hits a two-run home run against Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu (99) in the first inning at Coors Field June 28, 2019. 0
In 2018, MLB released the results of an independent study conducted by a committee of scientists “on the causes of the increased home run rate in the game since 2015.” The panel found the surge in home run hitting over that span was due, at least in part, “to a change in the aerodynamic properties of the baseball.” More specifically, the experts found the ball used in games over the past few years created less drag as it moved through the air, causing it to travel further. It appears to remain a problem.