So let’s take a look at how lucky some Colorado Rockies hitters are actually getting this season. We’ll start by looking at things like wOBA and xwOBA, examining the gap between the two stats, then delineate how accurate that gap actually is by looking at other peripheral stats that can help explain each player’s performance. They’ll be broken down into categories of Lucky, Somewhat Lucky, Unlucky and “True” to their numbers.
Below is a bar graph showing each Rockies player with at least 100 PAs this season. This shows how their wOBA (gray) compares to their xwOBA (purple) and will be the starting point of all the analyzing we conduct here.