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Exploring advanced stats - xwOBA

Baseball is a fickle game. Inches, and even fractions of inches matter a lot. An inch is the difference between a ball or a strike. A fraction of an inch is the difference between a line drive and a pop up.

To twist things even more, that line drive and pop up can go completely different places from there. Liner into the shift? Easy out. Pop up into no-man’s land in shallow left? Bloop single. Being off by a fraction of an inch can easily result in a better outcome, at times. An 0-4 game at the plate can consist of four hard hit balls to unlucky places, while a 4-4 game can be filled with terrible contact.