PECOTA’s predictions for the Colorado Rockies says that they are going to be a 85-77 team, which would be good enough for second place in the National League West. However, that would not be good enough for either of the two Wild Card spots, as they would be out of a spot by one game.
This would be a drop of six wins for the Rockies in 2019 but if you look further, it is actually exactly the same as last year. If you take a look at the Rockies run differential and Pythagorean win/loss record, the Rockies should have been a 85-78 team.