Advanced metrics largely favor Penn State over Clemson ahead of Saturday’s Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium.
Despite Clemson entering bowl week as a slight betting favorite, several analytical models project Penn State as the more likely winner in the noon kickoff.
The FEI model from BCFToys gives Penn State a 71.7% chance to win and projects a 28.9–20.5 victory. Clemson enters the matchup ranked 37th nationally in FEI, while Penn State is ranked 20th, making the Nittany Lions the highest-rated opponent Clemson has faced this season by that metric.
Special teams are a significant factor in FEI’s projection.