When a team has an 8-0 lead in the 3rd, they have a 98.8% chance of winning.
When they lead 10-3 in the 5th, they have a 99.0% chance of winning.
When they lead 11-7 in the 7th inning, they have a 97% chance to win.
When they’re ahead 11-10 with two outs in the 9th, they have a 96.4% chance.
Run Prevention
Sonny Gray made it through five innings. He struck out two and walked three. The fact that he qualified for a Win tonight, but not in his previous five starts when he’d struck out 36 batters and walked four should tell you what you need to know about the value of pitcher Wins.