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The Cubs did one thing very poorly in 2019. Fix it and they’ll likely contend in 2020

The St. Louis Cardinals won 91 games in 2019. They underperformed their run differential slightly; by the Pythagorean method their 764 runs scored and 662 runs allowed should have produced a 92-70 record.

The Milwaukee Brewers won 89 games in 2019. They overperformed their run differential significantly; by the Pythagorean method their 769 runs scored and 766 allowed would have produced, basically, a .500 team at 81-81. (In fact, going by run differential, the Brewers should have been only one game better than the Reds, who scored 701 runs and allowed 711 for a Pythagorean record of 80-82.