With their 9-6 win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday, the Cubs improved their season record to 77-43 (.642 winning percentage) and increased their NL Central lead to 13 games over the St. Louis Cardinals.
You doesn’t need a statistics degree to understand these odds: Aside from a team-wide strike to protest Tommy La Stella’s optioning to the minors or a disastrous onesie malfunction epidemic, the Cubs are going to win the NL Central. FanGraphs says it is 100 percent likely, and FiveThirtyEight basically agrees.
If the Cubs win half of their remaining games, they’ll finish with 98 wins.