In 2024, the Cubs had a good 44-37 record at Wrigley Field. But they scored just 319 runs there — 3.94 per game. Team pitching was also good at Wrigley last year, as they allowed just 276 runs, or 3.41 per game. That would have been an expected record of 46-35, so they were pretty close.
On the road, though, the Cubs were an offensive juggernaut. They scored over 100 runs more on the road than at home, 417, or 5.15 per game, and allowed 393, or 4.85 per game. That gives a W/L expected record of 43-37, but the team fell short of that, going 39-42 away from Wrigley Field.