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New PECOTA Projections Love Craig Kimbrel to Rebound, Jon Lester…Not So Much

Remember last year when PECOTA projected the Cubs to be mediocre and everyone, including the players, got all huffy about it? If only we could go back to a time when it was possible to get pissed about thinking the Cubs wouldn’t be good. Man, those sure were the days. It’s unlikely there’ll be similar backlash when the projected team standings are released, but we can have a little fun with individual player projections in the meantime.

PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is a forecasting system employed by Baseball Prospectus for the purpose of predicting player and team performance.