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The Chicago Cubs couldn’t care less about PECOTA. Suppose you’re unaware of what PECOTA does or doesn’t do. In that case, it is simply a projection system developed in the early 2000s by FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver and first made public at Baseball Prospectus. Each year PECOTA will analyze past performance for the most likely scenario in an upcoming season.
Thus far, in 2021, the Cubs are doing everything in their power to defy the projections. On a rocking Sunday night in Wrigleyville, Craig Kimbrel slammed the door on St.