Had these last 13 games occurred in a different order, say reversed, I’m not sure that the Cubs wouldn’t have lost seven or even more. The Cubs didn’t play great during this stretch. To be clear, they didn’t play badly either. I’ve got the score over 13 games at 47-36 combined. Using a pythagorean expectation calculator, that’s an expected eight wins. So it feels like they were fortunate to come out with seven wins. Also, by at least one measure, they could have won eight games over the stretch.
That’s probably right on both ends. It feels fortunate, because particularly as the series of games ran on, they weren’t dominating.