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Bleed Cubbie Blue · Apr 19, 2025

2025 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 22

Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty ImagesThe online community has looked at WPA graphs that take a wild swing late as a Wee game. This is one of the first I can recall looking a little like a half pipe from skateboarding. We’ll start right off the top with the big numbers. After Michael Busch’s two-out RBI single in the bottom of the seventh inning, the Cubs had a 99.4 percent chance of winning. When Lourdes Gurriel Jr. slugged a three-run homer to give the Diamondbacks a four run lead, the D-Backs had a 96.4 percent chance of winning. That was almost a full 180 degree change in one at bat with the Snakes scoring 10 runs in an inning.

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