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Wendell Carter’s Summer League performance can project a stellar rookie season

After NBA Summer League, many are ready to place a Wendell Carter Jr. statue next to Jordan’s. Premature? Duh. But was his flaming hot NBA Las Vegas Summer League performance indicative of big things to come when the games start to matter in the fall?

For ESPN insider (subscription required), Kevin Pelton got super nerdy to try to find out the answer to this question. Here’s how he did it:

Thanks to RealGM.com’s database, I’ve collected summer league stats on all players dating back to 2004. I also have player projections from my SCHOENE projection system since the 2009-10 season, allowing us to look at which players have most exceeded expectations in summer play.