What Would Success Look Like for Justin Fields in 2023?

Justin Fields is entering the third year of his NFL career with revised help in every facet of the offense. Will he establish himself as a successful quarterback and earn an extension? What would that even look like?

Benchmarks

From 2016-2020, eighteen quarterbacks were drafted in the first round. Ten either had their fifth-year option picked up or had major extensions in place before the fifth year: Burrow, Tagovailoa, Herbert, Murray, Allen, Jackson, Mahomes, Watson, Goff, and Wentz.

An eleventh (Daniel Jones) ended up receiving a major extension after not having his fifth-year option picked up; it came after he managed a 92.5 passer rating and a playoff run in his fourth year with the New…