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The Draft Research Project: Starters and Impact Players

Last year, I rolled out the Draft Research Project, in which I looked at the first seven years of drafts under the new rookie salary scale, which substantially altered the economics of selecting and retaining football players in the NFL. With another season in the books, it is possible to add the data from 2018, as well. What this means is that there are now 2,035 players who were tracked across the first five years of their careers in the NFL. The good news was that most of the averages and ranges stayed appreciably the same, so that bodes well for year-to-year consistency (at least once a large enough pool of players was established).