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Bears vs. Falcons: What to Watch 4

Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Defensive tackle Andrew Billings (97) has been a key factor in the Bears rise from 32nd against the run in 2022 to first this season.

Key matchup

Between 2023 first-round pick Bijan Robinson (No. 8 overall) and 2022 fifth-round pick Tyler Allgeier, the Falcons are eighth in the NFL in rushing, averaging 129.8 yards per game. They’re 5-2 when they exceed that average and 2-6 when they don’t.

Robinson has 188 carries for 873 yards (4.6 yards per carry) and four touchdowns. His production has been typical of many rookies on losing teams — four games of 90 or more yards, including 19 carries for 124 yards in a victory over the Packers in Week 2, but five games of fewer than 40 yards, including seven carries for 11 yards in a loss to the Panthers in Week 15.