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Liverpool are most likely to get Monchengladbach, Chelsea have a 19% chance of facing RB Leipzig and Barcelona must fear a Bayern Munich reunion... Why the Champions League draw's probabilities are NOT all equal

Jurgen Klopp looks set to head back to Germany with Liverpool most likely to meet Borussia Monchengladbach in Monday's Champions League last-16 draw.

A calculation of the probabilities of each pairing shows that the English trio of Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea, all of whom won their group, are statistically most likely to be heading to face Marco Rose's Gladbach side in the first knockout round.

German teams only have five potential draw options due to having two teams seeded - Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund - and two not seeded - Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig.