The Houston Texans have the best chance to land the top pick in the 2023 NFL draft, according to the updated projections from the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). The 1-8-1 Texans have a 76.4% chance to have the top selection after losing their fifth straight game of the season. They're followed in our draft order projections by the Carolina Panthers, who have a 6.3% chance to land the No. 1 selection and are now 3-8 on the season.
There already have been six trades involving first-round picks for April's draft, with the Texans, Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles in line to have two selections in Round 1.