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Predicting the Pac-12: a Battle of Vegas, Computers, Homers and Haters

Well, time to give this little conference-stats blog another try… The last one had way too much info, and then I ran into some health stuff that kept me away from writing for a while. We’ll see how the blog can keep up going forward – fingers crossed.

This little piece is going to address things from a bit of a different angle: the wisdom of Vegas, compared to the wisdom of computers (namely SP+ and FPI). Finally, it'll explore the old adage that if you take some money to Vegas, "the house always wins" – and it turns out, if you go to Vegas with even the wisest stable strategy, that adage is almost always right.