I won't bury the lede here: BYU is going to beat UCF this week.
The only question is by how many points, and if the Cougars win at home against an inferior opponent, it will be impressive enough in the eyes of an anti-Big 12, anti-BYU College Football Playoff selection committee to matter.
Why the Cougars will win
While most Power Four college football games are something of a 50-50 proposition, BYU is simply playing at a much higher level than UCF for the outcome to be in jeopardy.