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Win probability notes: Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

The state champion Buffalo Bills added another W to the win column on Sunday against the New York Giants. Unlike last week, the Bills managed to get things going early and take control of the game. For the majority of their Week 1 game, the Bills’ win probability sat well below 20%. However, in Week 2 they spent three quarters as the odd- on favorite in a very convincing win.

The question going into Sunday’s game was: Could the Bills contain Saquon Barkley? Early in the first it looked like Barkley was poised to have a big game for the Giants, accumulating 55 yards on the opening drive—including a 27-yard touchdown run to put the Giants up only 2:15 into the first quarter.