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Win probability notes: Buffalo Bills struggle in third quarter but beat Tennessee Titans

Coming off a heartbreaking Week four loss to the New England Patriots, the Buffalo Bills needed a win going into the bye week. Say what you will about the Bills, they like to keep things exciting, at times maybe a little too exciting. Despite starting the game with a 40.58% win probability, Buffalo managed to come away with a tight win in Nashville. Lets take a look at the plays that helped them pull it off.

Buffalo spent most of the first half sitting at a sub-50% win probability.