Last year Buffalo Rumblings took a crack at predicting some of Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen’s key stats based on his 2018 performance combined with a deep data dive (see below). As it turned out, the statistically based predictions turned out to be quite accurate to last season’s actual result. So let’s do it again.
In the five measurements you’ll see below, the aim was to create a statistically based model of expected change. Specifically, this meant examining quarterbacks drafted in the ten years prior to Josh Allen (2008 to 2017) and determining the average amount of change that occurred from one season to the next.