The Buffalo Bills beat an AFC team on Sunday, so that means their playoff odds should go up, right? RIGHT!? Not exactly.
At 6-5, Buffalo has a 46% shot of making the playoffs according to historical data from FiveThirtyEight.com. That’s a jump of 17% with just one win and a 34% jump over the last two weeks. Taking into account score differential, the unexpected nature of their wins, what other teams in the AFC are doing, and more, the website gives this specific Buffalo team just a 27% chance of making the playoffs.