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WBC Semifinal: Mexico vs. Japan

If Japan wins tonight, it will advance to its third WBC championship game in five touraments and meet the United States on Tuesday. Japan won the first two touraments in 2006 and 2009 before finishing third in 2013 and 2017.

In this tournament, Japan is 5-0 and has outscored its opponents 47-11. If we plug those numbers into the most basic form of ye olde Pythagorean expectation, we learn that with those runs scored and runs allowed, a team would be expected to win 94.8% of its games, which works out (over 162 games) to a record of 154-8!