The time is upon us for Baseball Prospectus and the PECOTA projections on how players will perform in 2018. I enjoy reading the projections since I liken them to astrology – it is fun to read, but don’t take it seriously. Invariably the mark is missed far too often and Bill James – a noted purveyor of analytics – will admit to it, but it is a profitable cottage industry. The now sold Boston Herald checked in with the pitchers for 2018.
The originator of PECOTA is Nate Silver who has migrated into the realm of political forecasting.