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It’s More than Numbers: Why Dave Aranda Made the Right Decision Going for it

Math can’t tell us everything about life. In the classic Simpson’s episode “Homer at the Bat” Mr. Burn’s, the manager, elects to pinch hit Daryl Strawberry for Homer Simpsons because Burns wants a right handed batter to face a left handed pitcher. “It’s called playing the percentages,” Burns explains to a bewildered Strawberry. Clearly Burns failed to understand the math behind “right handed batter does better against left handed pitcher” has to adjust for batting a major league all-star instead of an obese nuclear inspector.

Texas Tech (24) @ Baylor (27)
Baylor has 4th & 2 at the TTU 12

Recommendation (STRONG): Go for it (+3 WP)
Actual play: Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Abram Smith pic.