The analytics boogeyman is back for the third week in a row.
This time, it comes in the form of a 2-point conversion attempt to win the game. And another time, the Ravens fail to convert, leaving many humble radio talk show callers, message board members, and Twitter users by the name of @ravensbrad234737845 in a state of outrage. But while constructing this strawman, no one has even bothered to ask a simple question…
Do win probability models even suggest that they go for 2 in that situation?
The answer, despite all your neighbor’s complaints about Harbaugh and those darn analytics, is that it’s a toss-up, leaning more toward kicking the extra point.