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Predicting five NFL teams most likely to decline in 2024 season

It's time to prognosticate. After months of going back and forth, watching 2023 tape and crunching the numbers, I'm ready to commit. Over the next two days, I'll make my annual selections for the NFL teams most likely to improve and most likely to decline in 2024. After hitting the improvement side of the coin in Monday's column, this piece evaluates the teams whose records I expect to decline.

I've been doing some version of this feature in picking specific teams to improve and decline for ESPN going back through the 2017 season.