In-Depth Statistical Projections for Ravens’ 2017 Season
There’s been a lot written already about how NFL teams are shaping up and their chances of success this season.
Last week, ESPN’s Sports Analytics put some numbers to it with their initial Football Power Index (FPI) ratings.
For those who aren’t mathematically inclined (like me), the FPI rating “combines its efficiency ratings on offense, defense and special teams – based on each unit’s expected points added per play – with the sum of all three squad ratings.”
Not sure how each unit’s expected points added per play is calculated, but alas …
The FPI ratings were then used to simulate the NFL season 10,000 times to calculate a team’s chances to win its division, make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, etc.