This is a weekly series that will attempt to reset expectations for the final win total after each Ravens game. For an explanation of the assumptions, read here.
The Week 3 loss to the Bengals greatly reduces playoff chances, but it was more frustrating given the events in St. Louis. Around the AFC, a lot of teams are looking desperate.
Change in expectation due to prior week’s W/L result: For the home opener, I estimated the Ravens with a 55% chance to win. So, Sunday’s loss changes the expected season wins by -0.