Offense
1. Throw on First Down
I know this feels counterintuitive when the Ravens threw the ball 56 times in a one score game last week. You probably couldn’t even find a prop bet on this unusual stat at NFL betting odds at 888. But hear me out. Per Sharpfootballstats.com opposing QB’s have a 109 QB rating when throwing on 1st down versus the Titans (24th in the NFL). That rating drops to 74 on 2nd down (4th in the league) and 79 on 3rd down (14th in the NFL).