History says the player selected No. 5 overall in the Major League Baseball amateur draft will be a productive major league player. In rare cases, the player is bound for the Hall of Fame. Occasionally, as with the most recent Orioles player taken fifth, he never reaches the big leagues.
The first category of players includes 2008 selection Buster Posey, a three-time World Series champion and 2012 National League Most Valuable Player for the San Fransisco Giants. Then there’s 2006 pick Ryan Braun, the Milwaukee Brewers slugger who, worth 47.1 wins above replacement, would be considered for the Hall if not for his admitted use of performance-enhancing drugs during his 2011 NL MVP season.