One of the signature aspects of draft season is projection. Every morsel of information, every physical test given and every bit of game film pored over is all meant to help discern what a player can be down the road.
But what does history say?
For all of the time, energy and money dedicated to scouting and draft research, there still remain too many factors outside of a team’s control for it to guarantee success on a pick. This, inherently, makes the draft a well-informed guessing game. And we can look at past results to find out how likely it is to select the right player.