Arguably the toughest aspect of building out a win total model is projecting passing efficiency for a quarterback on a new team. You have to decide how much of their success -- or failure -- was attributable to their situation in the old spot and whether their new context is better or worse.
The NFL cares not for my airing of grievances.
The Atlanta Falcons shipping Matt Ryan to the Indianapolis Colts for a third-round pick is the fourth trade in about a week involving a starting quarterback, including the second with the Colts alone.