Falcons over/under: How many yards will Matt Ryan throw for?

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports If there’s one thing that’s been consistent over the past decade, it’s Matt Ryan eclipsing 4000 passing yards in a season. In fact, Ryan’s streak started in 2011 (4177) and has lasted 9 seasons and counting, even with the missed game in 2019. While we’re confident he’ll go over 4000 again, just how high will it go with a “renewed” emphasis on the running game? Let’s set the over/under.

The baseline

Over his career, Ryan has averaged right at 271 yards per game (189 games, 51,186 yards). Projecting that out against a 16 game season gets you to 4,333 yards. That number is skewed down by the first few years of his career in Atlanta where the offense was heavily…