We know it’s mostly about the Atlanta Braves vs. the Philadelphia Phillies, but if that doesn’t go well, things get messy.
In 2018, the Atlanta Braves won the NL East going away — a margin of 8 full games over the Nationals. 2019 saw that winning margin shrink to 4 games, though the team was on cruise control at the end and lost five of their last six.
2020 meant another 4 game margin over the Marlins, with a similar situation to what the Braves face this week: a late series against the team that have a shot to knock off Atlanta.